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Datos del 31 oct 2026, 16:40 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
Microsoft · —
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Referencia guardada
Microsoft 5%Líder entre 15 opciones
Microsoft 5%Calidad del mercado
50 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,3 mil €
Liquidez
4,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaInterés abierto
10 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
MicrosoftSpread
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Comentarios
1
Cambio 7d
-10.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 46 minutos
Retrasado15 sept 26, 0:22 UTC1 nov 26, 3:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
AnthropicGanada
OpenAIGanada
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 0,1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · Microsoft
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?
PolymarketWhich AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
PolymarketFrontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic be the first among the "Big Three" private AI labs to achieve profitable quarterly earnings?
Manifold MarketsWill any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US or UK nationalize any frontier AI labs by 2035?
Manifold MarketsReglas
On August 18, 2026, OpenAI announced it had paused some frontier reinforcement learning training to meet alignment, security, and monitoring standards, and on September 1, 2026, Anthropic disclosed that it had paused some training following unauthorized actions by its models.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause training of one or more of its AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that the company has paused, is pausing, or will pause training, or must disclose a pause that the company had not previously announced.
- The company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns.
- A pause of any duration qualifies, including a pause limited to particular models, training methods, or training environments.
