Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of November?
0.5 pts (24h)América LatinaOne-OffClima1m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 31 oct 2026, 16:51 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
Japan · —
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Referencia guardada
Japan 51%Líder entre 7 opciones
Japan 51%Calidad del mercado
25 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
2 mil €
Liquidez
859,6 €
Baja liquidezInterés abierto
867,5 US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
JapanSpread
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Comentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado30 oct 26, 15:08 UTC4 dic 26, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
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- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · Japan
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Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market resolves to "Yes" if the the named outcome Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0+ attributed to the listed country, with an origin time between November 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, by December 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
- Otherwise, that market resolves "No".
- A qualifying earthquake must be counted for a country's market only if USGS attributes its location to that country in the event's location description, lists the earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0 or higher, and lists it as occurring within the specified timeframe.
- Earthquakes without a preferred magnitude classification will not qualify.
- Revisions to a reported earthquake's underlying data, such as preferred magnitude and country attribution, will be considered until the end of the third calendar day after that earthquake's origin time (ET); revisions made after that time will not be considered.
- If a reported earthquake still qualifies at the end of its revision period, this market will resolve to "Yes" at that time, without remaining open until December 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.