PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoLiquidado por el proveedor, mercado por mercado
Resuelto: 26 oct 2026, 6:40
Este evento no tiene un único ganador. El proveedor liquidó cada mercado por separado; cada mercado muestra su propio resultado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 6:29 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Probabilidad implícita actual
James Bond 36%+0.5ptLíder entre 11 opciones
James Bond 36%+0.5ptCalidad del mercado
12 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
206,5 €
Liquidez
39,7 €
Baja liquidezInterés abierto
89,2 US$
Comentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-12.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 días
Desactualizado17 oct 26, 21:09 UTC26 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Cronología de Probabilidad
Genius100%
Roadster100%
SpaceX100%
Tesla100%
James Bond25%
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency47%
Canyon46%
Evel Knievel0%
Flying Car49%
Legal49%
Rocket28%
James Bond36%
GeniusGanada
RoadsterGanada
SpaceXGanada
TeslaGanada
Bitcoin / Crypto / CryptocurrencyPerdida
CanyonPerdida
Evel KnievelPerdida
Flying CarPerdida
LegalPerdida
RocketPerdida
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between October 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
- Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full.
- (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
- Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context.