U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
0.1 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffGeopolíticaRussia / UkraineMiddle East3m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 95%+0.1pt
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
11,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
4.2% / 6.7%
Spread
2.5 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+1.4 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
5 nov 25, 17:51 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
- Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
- The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
