US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026?
9.0% (24h)FedQuarterlyTrade PolicyUS PoliticsGeopolíticaCentral Banks4d
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual5%+ 95%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
52 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
823,6 €
Liquidez
5,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
68.0% / 74.0%
Spread
8.8%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 minutos
23 jul 26, 22:0530 jul 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
5%+95%
Comparar plataformas· 5%+
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 95% | — | 823,6 € | 5,6 mil € | hace 19 minutos | |
 Kalshi90% de coincidencia · auto | Baja | 92% | — | 18,5 € | 7,8 mil € | hace 19 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Kalshi
US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026
1.0%4d
92%
+1.0%71%
14%
+2 resultados más
44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución
Volumen total22,2 mil €
Volumen 24h18,5 €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 of 2026 is at least equal to or higher than the listed figure.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The total effective tariff rate will be the number reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of St.
- Louis in the chart titled: "Federal government current tax receipts: Taxes on production and imports: Customs duties/Current payments to the rest of the world: Imports of goods*100" for Q2 of 2026.
- This data can be found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1wn5e.
- In the event that this data is not published by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$93723 jul4d de datos26 jul
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 of 2026 is at least equal to or higher than the listed figure.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The total effective tariff rate will be the number reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of St.
- Louis in the chart titled: "Federal government current tax receipts: Taxes on production and imports: Customs duties/Current payments to the rest of the world: Imports of goods*100" for Q2 of 2026.
- This data can be found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1wn5e.
- In the event that this data is not published by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".