PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actual800–900B 39%+0.5%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
40 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
21 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
3.0% / 6.0%
Spread
100.0%
Spread amplioCambio 7d
-0.5%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
26 feb 26, 0:3228 feb 27, 0:00
Tendencias
Resultado elegido
800–900B39%
También disponible en Kalshi
US trade deficit for 2026?
8m
2%
1%
1%
+9 resultados más
28 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total100,5 €
Volumen 24h0 €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S.
- International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
- Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
- The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”.
- Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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Reglas
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S.
- International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
- Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
- The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”.
- Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.