PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
800–900B 34.4%Líder entre 8 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
4,3 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
0.3 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
26 feb 26, 0:27 UTC28 feb 27, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
US trade deficit for 2026?
KalshiUS trade deficit for 2027
KalshiUS trade deficit for 2032
KalshiWill the Trade deficit of the US be 10% lower at the end of Trump’s 2nd term
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
PolymarketEU activates Trade Bazooka against the US before 2027?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
- Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
- The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”.
- Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau.
Mercados abiertos
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 3156%
- October 31+0.5pt31.2%
- September 30+4.0pt12.8%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 106,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,4 mil €
KALSHISouth Carolina ports total container volume in 2026
- Above 2.2 million TEUs94%
- Above 2.3 million TEUs84%
- Above 2.4 million TEUs56%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 13,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,7 mil €
KALSHIWhat will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?
- Fold / Folding / Foldable+10.0pt88%
- Ultra+5.0pt87%
- Apple Intelligence83%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,7 mil €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.0pt7%
+3 resultados más
KALSHIWhich sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
- Canadian aircraft+10.0pt34%
- Wind turbines23%
- Critical minerals-29.0pt11%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 25,3 mil €
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes-7.0pt70%
- No30%
- Volumen total
- 1,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 683,1 €
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
- How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de US Trade Deficit in 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza 800–900B al 34% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve US Trade Deficit in 2026??
- Está previsto que US Trade Deficit in 2026? se resuelva el 28 de febrero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida US Trade Deficit in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.