PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 81.2%+1.5pt
Calidad del mercado
33 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
410,5 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
13.0% / 24.0%
Spread
11.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
3
Cambio 7d
-4.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
13 mar 26, 16:57 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?
Manifold MarketsUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
PolymarketSwitzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?
PolymarketUkraine peace referendum scheduled by which date?
PolymarketAlberta votes YES in independence referendum by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsSeparatist referendum in any Canadian province in 2026?
FutuurReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
- Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 691,8 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 81% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026??
- Está previsto que Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.