PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Moonshot 66%-10.3ptLíder entre 18 opciones
Calidad del mercado
62 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
200,5 €
Liquidez
11,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-12.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
12 ago 26, 23:40 UTC1 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
PolymarketSecond-best AI Agent Lab end of September?
PolymarketSecond-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
PolymarketWhich models will GPT-6 Astra be higher than on arena.ai agent arena on the 12th September?
Manifold MarketsMajor company suffers serious damage from AI agent in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI agent autonomously discover and report a novel security vulnerability (assigned CVE) by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
- Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.
- If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard.
