PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 sept 2026, 18:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 84%
Calidad del mercado
30 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
1,1 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
13.0% / 19.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
2
Cambio 7d
-5.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado16 dic 25, 0:361 ene 27, 4:59
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.7pt100%
- Seth Moulton-0.6pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.4%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.3%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 180,4 M €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 resultados más
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.3pt39%
- Renan Santos+0.7pt3%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt61%
- October 31+1.5pt39%
- September 30-1.0pt20%
+17 resultados más
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Next French Presidential Election
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Supreme Court vacancy in 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 84% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Supreme Court vacancy in 2026??
- Está previsto que Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Supreme Court vacancy in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.