Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 90%
Pronosticadores
18
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado6 ene 26, 0:52 UTC1 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
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KalshiReglas
Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.
- Source: [Predictions for 2026](https://www.slowboring.com/i/181456375/predictions-for) Yglesias assigned 80% probability to this prediction.
- Original prediction: "No Supreme Court vacancy opens up" Resolution: Will resolve based on Yglesias' own assessment in his January 2027 review post.
- If he doesn't publish one, market creator will resolve based on the outcome.
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 695,7 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
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POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
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- 24,3 M €
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- 294,7 mil €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
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+35 resultados más
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- 54,7 M €
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- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de No Supreme Court vacancy opens in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 90% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve No Supreme Court vacancy opens in 2026??
- Está previsto que No Supreme Court vacancy opens in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida No Supreme Court vacancy opens in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.