PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable
Probabilidad implícita actual
Under 74.3%-2.5pt
Calidad del mercado
72 / 100
Calidad media
Volumen 24h
3,5 mil €
Liquidez
5,2 mil €
Liquidez media
Compra / Venta
25.0% / 26.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrecho
Comments
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
20 ago 26, 18:266 sept 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Resultado24hProbabilidad
Reglas
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if BSW wins at least 5% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if BSW wins less than 5% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%??
Polymarket cotiza Under al 74% a fecha de 26 de agosto de 2026.
¿Cuándo se resuelve Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%??
Está previsto que Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%? se resuelva el 6 de septiembre de 2026.
¿Cómo se liquida Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%??
Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.