PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Democrat 98%-0.7ptLíder entre 13 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
37,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.1 pt
Spread moderadoComments
1
Cambio 7d
-0.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
13 oct 25, 21:353 nov 26, 0:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
Comparacion de fuentes de prediccion
Referencia CoinRithm Jeff Merkley 98% · 2 plataformas · banda de 0 pt
- También disponible en Kalshi — Oregon Senate winner? · Jeff Merkley 97%
- También disponible en Gemini — Oregon US Senate Winner · Jeff Merkley 95%
- También disponible en Smarkets — Oregon Senate Election Winner · Democrat 97%
Mercados abiertos
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Jon Ossoff16.2%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt15.2%
+44 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 160,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 845,4 mil €
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+2.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman-4.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 11,5 M €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt14%
+125 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro32.4%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt4.9%
+29 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio+0.4pt12%
+125 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt45.3%
- Marco Rubio-3.0pt21.1%
- Ron DeSantis-0.2pt5.3%
+35 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 50,3 M €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Oregon Senate Election Winner?
- Polymarket cotiza Democrat al 98% a fecha de 21 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Oregon Senate Election Winner?
- Está previsto que Oregon Senate Election Winner se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Oregon Senate Election Winner?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Oregon Senate Election Winner?
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Kalshi, Gemini, Smarkets.