PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 2:06 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
October 31 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Referencia guardada
October 31 11%Líder entre 4 opciones
October 31 11%Calidad del mercado
28 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
503,4 €
Liquidez
430,6 €
Baja liquidezInterés abierto
4,5 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
October 31Spread
—
Comentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-37.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado14 ago 26, 21:49 UTC1 nov 26, 3:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
October 15Perdida
September 15Perdida
September 30Perdida
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · October 31
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiOpenRouter AI token usage in October
KalshiWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's next GLM model (5.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must be part of Z.ai's core GLM series, have a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," and be designated as a version greater than 5.3, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version greater than 5.3 named in the same manner as GLM-5.2 or GLM-5.3 would qualify, including versions that skip numbers, such as GLM-5.5 or GLM-6, while models with a version designation of 5.3 or below, or derivative models not positioned as the next flagship GLM release, such as GLM-5.3-Turbo, will not qualify.
- Staged rollouts of a model already publicly accessible before market creation, such as the open-weight or API release of GLM-5.3, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — GLM 5.4+ (Z.ai) release date · Before 2027-01-01 96%