PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
December 31 99%+0.6ptLíder entre 5 opciones
December 31 99%+0.6ptCalidad del mercado
62 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
589,9 €
Liquidez
8,5 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
1 jul 26, 22:49 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
August 31Perdida
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 0,1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Haiku" and be designated as version 4.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 4.6 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Haiku 4.5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Haiku 5, while models whose name does not include "Haiku" or which retain a version designation below 4.6, such as Claude Haiku 4.5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.