PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
October 18 15%+10.9ptLíder entre 32 opciones
October 18 15%+10.9ptCalidad del mercado
65 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,2 mil €
Liquidez
13,4 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 minutos
1 oct 26, 0:12 UTC1 nov 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 0,1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) is made available to the general public.
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Haiku" and be designated as version 4.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 4.6 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Haiku 4.5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Haiku 5, while models whose name does not include "Haiku" or which retain a version designation below 4.6, such as Claude Haiku 4.5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
- The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website.
