Largest Democratic Margin of Victory
Política
PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: California Proposition 50
Datos de resolución no verificados
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual
California Proposition 50 86.2%+0.8ptLíder entre 5 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
5 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 122 días
Desactualizado6 oct 25, 16:254 nov 25, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
California Proposition 50100%
Virginia House of Delegates16%
Virginia Governor0%
New Jersey Governor0%
New York City Mayor0%
13.8%
86.2%
0%
0%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve according to the election or referendum won by Democrats with the highest margin of victory compared to the other listed events, all scheduled for November 4, 2025:
- - the named outcome election - the named outcome election - the named outcome election - the named outcome election - California referendum “Proposition 50”
- If the results of any of these elections are not confirmed by July 31, 2026, this market will be resolved according to the results published thus far.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official election authority sources conducting the election.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Largest Democratic Margin of Victory?
- Polymarket cotiza California Proposition 50 al 86% a fecha de 24 de abril de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Largest Democratic Margin of Victory?
- Está previsto que Largest Democratic Margin of Victory se resuelva el 4 de noviembre de 2025.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Largest Democratic Margin of Victory?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to the election or referendum won by Democrats with the highest margin of victory compared to the other listed events, all scheduled for November 4, 2025: