PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: 100+ (100%)
Datos de resolución no verificados
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual100+ 100%+0.3ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
56,2 €
Liquidez
71,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+1.9 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 21 días
Desactualizado21 jun 26, 18:1028 jun 26, 23:59
Cronología de Probabilidad
25-491%
50-740%
100+100%
75-990%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· 100+
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Baja | 100% | — | 56,2 € | 71,4 mil € | hace 21 días | |
 KalshiMás activa82% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 99% | — | 23,3 mil € | 883,1 € | hace 25 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Kalshi
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/22 - 6/28)
82.0 ptsCerrados
Resuelto
Above 225 (99%)
+82.0pt99%
+62.0pt99%
+97.0pt99%
+10 resultados más
47 • Baja calidadSpread estrechoBaja liquidez
Volumen total190,4 mil €
Volumen 24h23,3 mil €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve according to the finalized total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from June 22, 2026, through June 28, 2026, inclusive.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as data has been finalized for the final date in the specified period.
- If the data for the final date of the specified period has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$642 jul4d de datos5 jul
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KALSHIActivos en estos temas
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This market will resolve according to the finalized total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from June 22, 2026, through June 28, 2026, inclusive.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as data has been finalized for the final date in the specified period.
- If the data for the final date of the specified period has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.