Probabilidad implícita actual
40-45% 39.8%+1.5ptLíder entre 6 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
40-45% 39.8%+1.5ptCalidad del mercado
71 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
704,4 €
Liquidez
76,5 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+2.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
14 sept 26, 22:50 UTC8 oct 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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SmarketsReglas
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Labour Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.
- The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Labour Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Labour Party.
- Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
