PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Seán Kyne
Datos de resolución no verificados
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual
Seán Kyne 100%+31.4ptLíder entre 27 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
120,9 mil €
Liquidez
2,5 M €
Alta liquidezCambio 7d
-0.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 100 días
Desactualizado26 feb 26, 0:3631 mar 27, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich11%
Seán Kyne100%
Noel Thomas0%
100%
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0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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Reglas
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
- If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
