Probabilidad implícita actual
No 70%
No 70%Calidad del mercado
34 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
547,4 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
15.0% / 43.0%
Spread
28.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
2
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
9 sept 26, 22:30 UTC10 oct 26, 18:00 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Reglas
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections.
- The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
- If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
