French Presidential Election First Round: Le Pen hits __% in any poll?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección5m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
38% · —
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Referencia guardada
38% 86%Líder entre 3 opciones
38% 86%Calidad del mercado
26 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
19 €
Liquidez
549,4 €
Baja liquidezInterés abierto
21,2 US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
38%Spread
—
Comentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
6 nov 26, 22:37 UTC17 abr 27, 21:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · 38%
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
The first round of the French presidential election is scheduled to take place on April 18, 2027.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if any first-round voting intention poll for this election conducted by Elabe, YouGov, OpinionWay, Ifop, Harris Interactive, Odoxa, or Ipsos, and published between market creation and April 17, 2027, 11:59 PM Paris time, shows Marine Le Pen with the listed percentage or higher of first-round voting intentions.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If a poll tests multiple first-round scenarios (e.g., different combinations of candidates), Le Pen reaching the listed percentage or higher in any single tested scenario will qualify.
- Rolling polls (e.g., Ifop-Fiducial rolling) qualify, with each individual release considered a separate poll.
- Polls of the second round, polls conducted by other pollsters, and averages or aggregations of polls will not qualify.