PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Sí 57%
Calidad del mercado
32 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
60,9 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
26.0% / 89.0%
Spread
63.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
1
Cambio 7d
+9.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
13 ago 26, 18:16 UTC2 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
KalshiWhich states will report local cases in the May 2026 Ebola Bundibugyo outbreak
Manifold MarketsEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWhich countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
KalshiWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
PolymarketEbola pandemic in 2026?
KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET., a confirmed case of Ebola is reported in a country that had not reported any confirmed Ebola case in the current outbreak as of market creation.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The "current outbreak" is the Bundibugyo ebolavirus outbreak declared by the DRC on May 15, 2026.
- A "qualifying country" is any country other than the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Uganda, or France, each of which had recorded at least one confirmed case attributable to this outbreak as reported by Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) https://www.cdc.gov/ebola/situation-summary/index.html.
- A "confirmed case" is a laboratory-confirmed Bundibugyo ebolavirus infection attributed to the current outbreak.
- A case counts for whichever country the qualifying source assigns it to in its reporting, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or specimen collection occurred.
Mercados abiertos
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Volumen total
- 15,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 30,4 mil €
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volumen total
- 652,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 3,5 mil €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,9 mil €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt97%
- Above 600059%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 865,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,7 mil €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Volumen total
- 915,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,4 mil €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volumen total
- 84 mil €
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- FDA decision: Anitocabtagene Autoleucel (anito-cel) by Gilead Sciences (in 2026)
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1??
- Polymarket cotiza Yes al 57% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1??
- Está previsto que Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1? se resuelva el 2 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Ebola: new country confirmed before October 1??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET., a confirmed case of Ebola is reported in a country that had not reported any confirmed Ebola case in the current outbreak as of market creation.