PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
0.2% 37.9%+2.5ptLíder entre 7 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
54 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
205,9 €
Liquidez
4 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
11 sept 26, 15:29 UTC15 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Argentina inflation rate MoM for September
KalshiPPI MoM in September
KalshiCore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiCore CPI YoY - September 2026
PolymarketWill November 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 3% in September 2026?
ForecastExReglas
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Kalshi — CPI core month-over-month in Sep 2026? · Exactly 0.3% 91%
Mercados abiertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 128,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,5 M €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Volumen total
- 8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 95,8 mil €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 resultados más
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 29 mil €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 40,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,1 mil €
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- PPI YoY - September 2026
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- September Inflation China - Annual
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
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Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Core CPI MoM - September 2026?
- Polymarket cotiza 0.2% al 38% a fecha de 14 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Core CPI MoM - September 2026?
- Está previsto que Core CPI MoM - September 2026 se resuelva el 15 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Core CPI MoM - September 2026?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Core CPI MoM - September 2026?
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Kalshi.