PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
2.4% 34.7%+2.5ptLíder entre 10 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
54 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
299,2 €
Liquidez
7,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
11 sept 26, 15:30 UTC15 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 128,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,5 M €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Volumen total
- 8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 95,8 mil €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 resultados más
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 29 mil €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 40,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,1 mil €
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in September
- September Inflation US - Annual
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- PPI YoY - September 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- September Inflation China - Annual
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Olathe?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Core CPI YoY - September 2026?
- Polymarket cotiza 2.4% al 35% a fecha de 14 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Core CPI YoY - September 2026?
- Está previsto que Core CPI YoY - September 2026 se resuelva el 15 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Core CPI YoY - September 2026?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Core CPI YoY - September 2026?
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Kalshi.