PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Texas 13.8%+14.3ptLíder entre 18 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
40 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
34,9 €
Liquidez
104,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
32.2 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-0.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 30 minutos
29 jun 26, 20:05 UTC1 nov 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Closest Governor race in 2026?
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Robinhood (Rothera)Reglas
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
- If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose name comes first alphabetically.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.1pt60.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt38.6%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 133,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 947,3 mil €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59.8%
- D-House, R-Senate29.4%
- Republicans sweep+0.4pt9.8%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 194,6 M €
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-6.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Volumen total
- 28,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 523,8 mil €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.2pt90.1%
- Republican Party+0.4pt9.9%
- Volumen total
- 30,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 493,5 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Closest Governor's Race??
- Polymarket cotiza Texas al 13.8% a fecha de 22 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Closest Governor's Race??
- Está previsto que Closest Governor's Race? se resuelva el 1 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Closest Governor's Race??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.