PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosSin cotizaciones en vivo
Datos del 8 sept 2026, 18:40 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
10.5M-11M 33%+4.5ptLíder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
24 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
689,8 €
Baja liquidezComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-8.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
18 ago 26, 14:08 UTC3 nov 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
California Governor Election Winner
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PolymarketIf This CA Gov candidate makes the runoff, will they win the California Governor election?
Manifold MarketsWill Xavier Becerra OR Tom Steyer win the 2026 California Governor election?
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FutuurCalifornia Governor Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Mercados abiertos
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
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- Volumen total
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- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
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- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de California Governor Election: Turnout?
- Polymarket cotiza 10.5M-11M al 33% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve California Governor Election: Turnout?
- Está previsto que California Governor Election: Turnout se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida California Governor Election: Turnout?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California.