Will Xavier Becerra OR Tom Steyer win the 2026 California Governor election?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección1mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 96.3%
Pronosticadores
18
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado2 jun 26, 8:00 UTC6 nov 26, 1:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Xavier Becerra win the California general election for Governor in 2026?
ForecastExCalifornia Governor Election Winner
PolymarketCalifornia Governor Election: Fresno County Winner
PolymarketCalifornia Governor Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketIf This CA Gov candidate makes the runoff, will they win the California Governor election?
Manifold MarketsCalifornia governor election winner
FutuurReglas
Resolves yes if Xavier Becerra or Tom Steyer win the 2026 Californian Governors election in November.
- This is who wins the election, not who is first place in the primary.
- If they are the only 2 candidates that advance, market can resolve early.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Xavier Becerra OR Tom Steyer win the 2026 California Governor election??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 96% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Xavier Becerra OR Tom Steyer win the 2026 California Governor election??
- Está previsto que Will Xavier Becerra OR Tom Steyer win the 2026 California Governor election? se resuelva el 6 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Xavier Becerra OR Tom Steyer win the 2026 California Governor election??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves yes if Xavier Becerra or Tom Steyer win the 2026 Californian Governors election in November.