PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actualDemocratic Party 99%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
19 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
0.4% / 1.9%
Spread
1.5 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
-2.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 25 minutos
28 ene 26, 6:093 nov 26, 0:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Democratic Party96%
Comparar plataformas· Democratic Party
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Baja | 96% | — | 0 € | 19 mil € | hace 25 minutos | |
 Kalshi60% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 99% | — | 0 € | 5,1 € | hace 26 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Kalshi
CA-04 House winner?
Cerrados
Resuelto
Democratic party (99%)
98%
2%
34 • Baja calidadSpread moderadoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total1 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$56 jul19d de datos25 jul
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.