Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?
3.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffElecciónLatin America17d
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
41-44% 45.9%+17.5ptLíder entre 5 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
59 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,4 mil €
Liquidez
14,6 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
16 sept 26, 2:26 UTC5 oct 26, 2:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva in the first round of this election.
- The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- This market will resolve based on the official vote count.