Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí 88%-0.0%
Calidad del mercado
60 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
13,9 €
Liquidez
13,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
86.0% / 89.0%
Spread
3.5%
Spread moderadoCambio 7d
-4.5%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
24 oct 25, 19:5625 jun 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Resultado elegido
Yes88%
También disponible en Kalshi
Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?
2.0%4m
-2.0%84%
16%
44 • Baja calidadSpread moderadoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total637,1 €
Volumen 24h10,9 €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California.
- If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California.
- If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.