Probabilidad implícita actual
0.5% - 0.6% 36.1%+0.5ptLíder entre 5 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
52 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
296,2 €
Liquidez
2,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoComments
0
Cambio 7d
-8.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
11 ago 26, 4:549 sept 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
- This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
- You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Mercados abiertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 36,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,5 M €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+2.0pt51.5%
- No-2.0pt48.5%
- Volumen total
- 6,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 64,4 mil €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 106,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 13,5 mil €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+3.5pt30%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHICPI-U index in August
- Above 334.30095%
- Above 334.35095%
- Above 334.450+3.0pt94%
+22 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 45,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,5 mil €
- How high will inflation get this year?
- US shelter CPI in August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- PPI YoY - August 2026
- South Africa inflation rate MoM for August
- US electricity price in August
- Core PCE YoY - July 2026
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de August Inflation China - Annual?
- Polymarket cotiza 0.5% - 0.6% al 36% a fecha de 21 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve August Inflation China - Annual?
- Está previsto que August Inflation China - Annual se resuelva el 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida August Inflation China - Annual?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.