Probabilidad implícita actual
2 69.3%Líder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
79 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
8,3 mil €
Liquidez
51,4 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.1 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+7.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
6 jul 26, 22:07 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats?
PolymarketWho will win Uttar Pradesh State Elections held in Jan - March 2027?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Will Non-Republicans hold at least 55.8% of House seats on any day by September 2, 2027? (9/2/27)
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Will Non-Republicans hold at least 56% of House seats on any day by September 27, 2027? (9/27/27)
Manifold MarketsMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?
PolymarketBerlin State Elections: Linke # of seats?
PolymarketReglas
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
- This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
- No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
- A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
- This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies.
