Probabilidad implícita actual
2 72%-9.5%Líder entre 4 opciones
Calidad del mercado
91 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
4,1 mil €
Liquidez
68,1 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
71.0% / 72.0%
Spread
1.4%
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
-15.5%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 minutos
6 jul 26, 22:0731 dic 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
272%
Tendencia de volumen
$4.7k7 jul20d de datos26 jul
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Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (also known as Saxony-Anhalt), the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in September of 2026.
- This market will resolve to the number of elections, among those three listed, in which Alternative für Deutschland, also referred to as AfD or Alternative for Germany, wins or ties for the greatest number of seats in these elections.
- No other election in a German state parliamentary body will be considered, even if it is held in September of 2026.
- A delayed election to any of the three referenced bodies will be considered so long as voting is completed by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET.
- This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official websites of the listed parliamentary bodies.