Will we have useful fault-tolerant Quantum Computers within the next decade
One-OffTecnologíaCiencia8a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 67.4%
Pronosticadores
41
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 40 minutos
11 sept 24, 14:06 UTC12 sept 34, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
As judged by Scott Aaronson https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=8310.
- If Scott does not publicly express an opinion before the resolution date, I will email him to get his take.
- If he cannot or will not answer, and the resolution is unclear, I will do my best to get expert opinions.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will we have useful fault-tolerant Quantum Computers within the next decade?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 67% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will we have useful fault-tolerant Quantum Computers within the next decade?
- Está previsto que Will we have useful fault-tolerant Quantum Computers within the next decade se resuelva el 12 de septiembre de 2034.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will we have useful fault-tolerant Quantum Computers within the next decade?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: As judged by Scott Aaronson https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=8310.