Will Vladimir Putin stop being president of Russia before Volodymyr Zelensky stops being president of Ukraine?
PolíticaOne-OffElecciónGeopolíticaRusia / Ucrania
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 81.6%
Pronosticadores
148
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado29 ago 23, 20:41 UTC7 oct 02, 20:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Vladimir Putin stop being the leader of Russia before Xi Jinping stops being the leader of China?
Manifold MarketsWill Volodymyr Zelensky be killed or captured while being the president of Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsWill Recep Tayyip Erdogan stop being the leader of Turkey before Vladimir Putin stops being the leader of Russia?
Manifold MarketsWill Kim Jong Un stop being the leader of North Korea before Vladimir Putin stops being the leader of Russia?
Manifold MarketsWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine through the end of 2026?
FutuurPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
PolymarketReglas
This question resolves to yes if Putin is no longer president of Russia while Zelensky is still president of Ukraine.
- For the purposes of this question, the reason for either president to no longer be president is irrelevant: lost election, death, destitution, coup d'état, anything counts.
- If Putin becomes prime minister while someone else assumes the presidency, Putin will no longer be considered president, even if there is broad agreement that the official president is no more than a figurehead.
- Ditto for Zelensky.
- For the purposes of this question, in the event that either president would lose de facto control over the capital of his country, he would no longer be considered president, regardless of the de jure situation, even if he retreats to some other place and maintains a government in exile of any sort.
- It's a bit arbitrary, but I think it makes things easier to resolve, as consitutional issues of this type can become very tricky to resolve objectively.
