Will U.S. gasoline CPI (SA) fall 3% or more month-over-month in the July 2026 release?
InflationOne-OffCommoditiesManifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No (17%)
Resuelto: 12 ago 2026, 12:36
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Pronóstico comunitario actualSí 83%
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 días
Desactualizado5 ago 26, 22:5412 ago 26, 12:25
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes83%
No17%
83%
17%
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for July 2026 shows that the seasonally adjusted gasoline (all types) index fell by 3.0% or more month-over-month from June 2026. **Series:** CUSR0000SETB01 ("Gasoline (all types) in U.S. city average, all urban consumers, seasonally adjusted"), available free at https://api.bls.gov/publicAPI/v1/timeseries/data/CUSR0000SETB01 **Resolution:** Compute (July 2026 index / June 2026 index - 1) x 100 from the FIRST BLS July 2026 CPI release.
- Resolves YES if that value is -3.0% or lower (i.e. a decline of 3.0% or more).
- Resolves NO if it is higher than -3.0% (including any increase).
- The June 2026 value at market creation is 341.980; the May 2026 value is 378.660.
- Use only the seasonally adjusted series named above.
- Do NOT use the not-seasonally-adjusted gasoline index, the broader energy index (CUSR0000SA0E), headline or core CPI, retail price surveys (AAA, GasBuddy, EIA weekly), crude oil prices, or later annual revisions — unless BLS corrects the initial July 2026 release before resolution.
