🏛️ Will US Congress pass a law that substantially preempts state AI regulation before January 1, 2027? 🏛️
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 95%
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Actualizado hace 38 minutos
22 jun 26, 23:02 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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FutuurReglas
YES if, before Jan 1, 2027, a federal statute is enacted that meaningfully limits or overrides states’ ability to regulate AI systems.
- NO otherwise.
- Definition of “substantially preempts”
- Counts as YES if the law does at least one of the following:
- Bans or freezes state AI regulation for any meaningful period (e.g., moratorium)
- Establishes federal AI rules that explicitly override conflicting state laws
