🏛️ Will US Congress pass a law that substantially preempts state AI regulation before January 1, 2027? 🏛️
PolíticaOne-OffUS Politics3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 85%
Pronosticadores
20
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado22 jun 26, 23:02 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
YES if, before Jan 1, 2027, a federal statute is enacted that meaningfully limits or overrides states’ ability to regulate AI systems.
- NO otherwise.
- Definition of “substantially preempts”
- Counts as YES if the law does at least one of the following:
- Bans or freezes state AI regulation for any meaningful period (e.g., moratorium)
- Establishes federal AI rules that explicitly override conflicting state laws
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de 🏛️ Will US Congress pass a law that substantially preempts state AI regulation before January 1, 2027? 🏛️?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 85% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve 🏛️ Will US Congress pass a law that substantially preempts state AI regulation before January 1, 2027? 🏛️?
- Está previsto que 🏛️ Will US Congress pass a law that substantially preempts state AI regulation before January 1, 2027? 🏛️ se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida 🏛️ Will US Congress pass a law that substantially preempts state AI regulation before January 1, 2027? 🏛️?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: YES if, before Jan 1, 2027, a federal statute is enacted that meaningfully limits or overrides states’ ability to regulate AI systems.