Will Trump's attempt to run for the 3rd term be blocked by court(s)?
PolíticaRegulaciónOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 86%
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado25 mar 26, 8:40 UTC21 ene 29, 0:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?
KalshiIf Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?
Manifold MarketsTrump seriously attempts 3rd term in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump attempt to rename an ocean by the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump attempt to use recess appointments for any of his cabinet nominees?
Manifold MarketsCopper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves once it's clear that either Trump is not running for the 3rd term (not going to try, or abandoned his attenmpt), or it's clear he was able to run without sufficient impediment to stop him.
- If Trump does not try to run for a 3rd term, resolves NO
- If Trump tries, but abandons the attempt before courts are involved, resolves NO
- If Trump successfully runs for the 3rd term, resolves NO
- A court decision that is overruled by a higher court does not count.
- A successful 3rd term run resolves NO, even if he loses - even if there are some court decisions that prevented him from being on a ballot in some states.
