Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolítica2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 75%
Pronosticadores
43
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado4 feb 24, 22:45 UTC1 feb 29, 10:59 UTC
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PredictItReglas
Martial Law following definitions laid out here.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martial_law_in_the_United_States?wprov=sfla1
- This question is only about nationwide martial law, not about a local or isolated martial law declaration in one city or one state.
- There might be a situation where enough states are in martial law for it to de facto count as federal (e.g. all states of the contiguous United States).
- I'll let the comment section decide in that edge case.
- If trump declares martial law in only words, but doesn't act upon it.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 75% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)??
- Está previsto que Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)? se resuelva el 1 de febrero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Martial Law following definitions laid out here.