Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 80% for 2028?
One-OffTecnologíaCiencia2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 58.9%
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2
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
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Actualizado hace 8 minutos
6 abr 26, 18:30 UTC31 mar 29, 4:00 UTC
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Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2028?
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ForecastExReglas
This market resolves YES if TOPCon technology's share of global solar cell production (GW basis) for the full calendar year 2028 exceeds 80%, as reported by CPIA or InfoLink.
- YES if: TOPCon share >= 80% for 2028 NO if: TOPCon share < 80% for 2028
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- CPIA annual report — technology mix table
- InfoLink Consulting annual solar cell technology market share report
- BloombergNEF / Wood Mackenzie solar technology outlook