Will there be any successful manned mission to Mars launched by any country/private company by 2040 ?
TecnologíaOne-OffSpace14aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 58.1%
Pronosticadores
23
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado8 mar 24, 14:27 UTC16 dic 40, 2:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be a successful manned mission to Mars by 2030?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX to launch a manned mission to Mars by the end of 2028?
FutuurWill there be a successful legal challenge to the US tariffs on Brazil that started July 22
Manifold MarketsWhat will OpenAI do before IPO that is easier as a private company? [Add answers]
Manifold MarketsLargest private company end of September?
Polymarket2nd largest private company end of September?
PolymarketReglas
In this NASA article https://www.nasa.gov/humans-in-space/humans-to-mars/, and this interview by Elon Musk talking about SpaceX plans https://www.npr.org/2022/03/17/1087167893/elon-musk-mars-2029 express their dedication to advancing technologies for human missions to Mars.
- NASA underscores its commitment to developing new technologies on its official website, while Elon Musk hints at a manned mission to Mars in 2029 during an interview.
- These statements indicate a shared interest in sending manned missions to the Red Planet.
- Will any of them be successful by the end of 2040 ?
- the mission would be considered successful by the following criteria :
- Safe Arrival: The spacecraft carrying the astronauts safely lands on the surface of Mars without any major incidents or malfunctions.
Mercados abiertos
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 802,6 mil €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volumen total
- 736,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 585,6 mil €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 resultados más
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will there be any successful manned mission to Mars launched by any country/private company by 2040 ??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 58% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will there be any successful manned mission to Mars launched by any country/private company by 2040 ??
- Está previsto que Will there be any successful manned mission to Mars launched by any country/private company by 2040 ? se resuelva el 16 de diciembre de 2040.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will there be any successful manned mission to Mars launched by any country/private company by 2040 ??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: In this NASA article https://www.nasa.gov/humans-in-space/humans-to-mars/, and this interview by Elon Musk talking about SpaceX plans https://www.npr.org/2022/03/17/1087167893/elon-musk-mars-2029 express their dedication to advancing technologies for human missions to Mars.