FutuurComprobar disponibilidadDatos de resolución verificadosProbabilidad implícita actual
No 94%
No 94%Calidad del mercado
31 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
259,8 €
Baja liquidezTraders
6
Comentarios
1
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the first manned mission to mars have a Chinese national on board?
Manifold MarketsWill there be any successful manned mission to Mars launched by any country/private company by 2040 ?
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Manifold MarketsWill a manned mission to Mars be officially announced by a government space agency by 2030?
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PolymarketReglas
This market aims to predict whether SpaceX will launch at least one Starship spacecraft with a human crew to Mars by December 31, 2028.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by the referred date, the manned mission is effectively launched towards Mars and successfully leaves the orbit of the Earth, regardless of whether or not it successfully reaches the orbit of Mars and lands on the planet's surface.
- This market may resolve to "No" before the end of 2028 if SpaceX officially announces that it will NOT launch such a mission to Mars by the referred date.
