Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 72.7%
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30
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Actualizado hace 22 horas
Desactualizado19 abr 26, 22:31 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
xkcd has a reputation of providing lots of commentary about contemporary tech issues.
- However, it has been notably silent about recent AI!
- Isn’t this kind of weird? Has anyone else noticed this?
- This market is about whether it continues.
- I will resolve based on whether the Artificial Intelligence category of explainxkcd contains any comics from 2026 at end of 2026.
- This assumes that it has not been manipulated; if I suspect its information is wrong I will make the judgement myself.
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volumen total
- 241,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 128 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 349,4 mil €
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
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- Anthropic market share this week
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will there be an xkcd about AI in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 73% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will there be an xkcd about AI in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will there be an xkcd about AI in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will there be an xkcd about AI in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: xkcd has a reputation of providing lots of commentary about contemporary tech issues.