Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 93.2%
Pronosticadores
71
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado12 feb 24, 20:03 UTC2 ene 27, 5:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be a single-person funded, owned and operated unicorn before 2050?
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PolymarketReglas
Will resolve true if there is a company valued at $1b dollars on December 31st 2026, which only has one meaningful human employee.
- If it has human contractors doing a total of more than 40 hours per week, it doesn't count.
Mercados abiertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8am EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
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- 961,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 741,9 mil €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 resultados más
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- 701,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 685,8 mil €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
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- 40-590%
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KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 907,2 mil €
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- 180-199+4.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 resultados más
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- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will there be a single-person unicorn before 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 93% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will there be a single-person unicorn before 2027??
- Está previsto que Will there be a single-person unicorn before 2027? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will there be a single-person unicorn before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Will resolve true if there is a company valued at $1b dollars on December 31st 2026, which only has one meaningful human employee.