Will the Washington state assault weapons ban be struck down?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsCrime & Justice3m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 92%
Pronosticadores
26
Tipo de pregunta
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 43 minutos
21 abr 23, 19:31 UTC1 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
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GeminiReglas
HB 1240 has been delivered to the governor to be signed and will likely be signed into law by the governor soon.
- Throughout the legislative process, many legislators have insisted that it is a waste of time because it is clearly unconstitutional.
- Will the courts agree with these legislators?
- Market will resolve yes if the court rules the law unconstitutional.
- If only part of the bill is ruled unconstitutional, but enough of the law remains that an AR-15 is not legally purchasable within Washington, I will not consider the law to have been struck down.
- This market will resolve No if either no challenge is brought to the law by the end of this year or if after all appeals are exhausted (either after a Supreme Court decision has been made, the Supreme Court decides not to hear the case, or if the decision by a lower court is not appealed to the Supreme Court) enough of the law remains in place that an AR-15 is not legally purchasable within Washington.
