Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 56.6%
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado29 mar 26, 14:55 UTC15 ene 27, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria (strict):
- Resolves YES if, on or before 2026-12-31 23:59:59 ET, the U.S. President signs into law a federal statute where AI is a primary subject.
- Executive orders, agency guidance, draft bills, committee approvals, or state laws do NOT count.
- If no qualifying federal AI statute is signed by deadline, resolves NO.
- Primary sources:
- Congress.gov final bill status
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the US pass a federal AI law before Dec 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 57% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the US pass a federal AI law before Dec 31, 2026??
- Está previsto que Will the US pass a federal AI law before Dec 31, 2026? se resuelva el 15 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the US pass a federal AI law before Dec 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria (strict):