Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopolíticaRussia / Ukraine3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 58.3%
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9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado10 ago 25, 22:09 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
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The proposed route goes from Azerbaijan through Armenia to Turkey and it's supposed to be controlled by the US.
- If the route goes the full length and is in fact controlled by the US (US personal present and in control) this resolves YES.
- A partial route or a route not controlled by the US resolves NO.
- If it's unclear who controls the route, I'll create a poll.
- Context: https://www.reuters.com/world/us-secures-strategic-transit-corridor-armenia-azerbaijan-peace-deal-2025-08-07/
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 58% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030??
- Está previsto que Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The proposed route goes from Azerbaijan through Armenia to Turkey and it's supposed to be controlled by the US.