Will the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolíticaGeopolíticaElección1mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 92.5%
Pronosticadores
22
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado3 sept 25, 19:20 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Trump administration militarize Chicago before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill the Trump administration militarize Los Angeles again before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWho will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
KalshiWho will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
PolymarketWill RFK Jr. have an official role in the Trump Administration at the start of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
This market resolves Yes if the Trump administration deploys any military assets such as the National Guard or the Marine Corps to the city of New York, New York before November 4th 2026.
- Although there is no legal process for federalizing the police outside of Washington, DC, if the Trump administration for example successfully commandeers the NYPD, this will also be considered sufficient for a Yes as the spirit of the market is about armed federal takeovers of US cities.
- Normal logistical movement of the military throughout the country does not count.
- Active service members must be in the streets, on camera, or otherwise uncontroversially described by a major news outlet as deployed in NYC in excess of what is normal, ie. a small military presence at a major airport on Christmas in line with past Homeland Security activity would not be sufficient.
- It is likely that Trump will be loudly and clearly declaring any such actions, so this market will probably have a clear resolution.
- Feel free to ask clarifying questions in the comments.
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 695,7 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 resultados más
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volumen total
- 24,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 294,7 mil €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 54,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 291,3 mil €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 93% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms??
- Está previsto que Will the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms? se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves Yes if the Trump administration deploys any military assets such as the National Guard or the Marine Corps to the city of New York, New York before November 4th 2026.