Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 63.5%
Pronosticadores
38
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
30 mar 23, 2:48 UTC21 sept 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
2026 Swedish general election prop bets (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsSwedish general election: Sweden Democrats vote percent
KalshiWill the Sweden Democrats beat their 2022 vote share (20.54%) in the September 2026 Riksdag election?
Manifold MarketsWill Sweden Democrats back or be in government after next election?
Manifold MarketsSwedish general election: Green Party vote percent
KalshiSwedish general election: Swedish Social Democratic Party vote percent
KalshiReglas
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Swedish_general_election
- 20.5% of the votes in 2022.
- If 20.5% this resolves NO.
- If Sweden Democrats have changed name, but are the same party, the result still counts.
- If Sweden Democrats are not part of the 2026 elections, this resolves NO.
- If Sweden Democrats split into multiple parties, they are not aggregated, but I will rule on which one is closest to the original (presumably one that doesn't change its name).
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 64% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election??
- Está previsto que Will the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election? se resuelva el 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Swedish_general_election