KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
At least 15% 99%+1.0ptLíder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
259 €
Liquidez
9,3 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
24 ago 26, 21:00 UTC13 sept 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiWill the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election?
Manifold Markets🇸🇪 Will Sweden’s Social Democrats win at least 31% of the vote in the September 13, 2026 general election?
Manifold Markets2026 Swedish general election prop bets (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sweden Democrats in the 2026 Swedish general election is 15% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Swedish Election Authority
- The percentage is the share of the vote received by the Sweden Democrats in the election to the Riksdag.
- It is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places.
- Resolution uses Valmyndigheten's final certified result, NOT the preliminary count published on election night or the ongoing count in the days that follow Only the election to the Riksdag counts.
- Votes cast in the regional and municipal elections held the same day do NOT count Invalid, spoiled, blank and rejected ballots are excluded from the denominator
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sweden Democrats in the 2026 Swedish general election is 17% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Swedish general election: Sweden Democrats vote percent?
- Kalshi cotiza At least 15% al 99% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Swedish general election: Sweden Democrats vote percent?
- Está previsto que Swedish general election: Sweden Democrats vote percent se resuelva el 13 de septiembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Swedish general election: Sweden Democrats vote percent?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sweden Democrats in the 2026 Swedish general election is 15% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.