Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 96%
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado19 mar 24, 1:36 UTC1 ene 25, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
When will Jesus Christ return (the second coming)
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Manifold MarketsWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWho will the next Pope be?
KalshiReglas
Resolves Yes if the second coming of Jesus Christ happened within the next 100 years (before the end of 2124)
- Resolves No if the second coming of Jesus Christ did not happen before the end of 2124
- A second coming of Jesus Christ, as described in the Bible, should include:
- Physical Return of Jesus Christ Matthew 24:30: "Then will appear the sign of the Son of Man in heaven.
- And then all the peoples of the earth will mourn when they see the Son of Man coming on the clouds of heaven, with power and great glory."
- Acts 1:11: "'Men of Galilee,' they said, 'why do you stand here looking into the sky? This same Jesus, who has been taken from you into heaven, will come back in the same way you have seen him go into heaven.'"
Mercados abiertos
ReligionKALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No88%
- Yes-38.0pt12%
- Volumen total
- 10,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 9,5 mil €
POLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volumen total
- 56,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 9,2 mil €
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Luis Antonio Tagle5%
- Pietro Parolin-0.8pt4%
- Matteo Zuppi4%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 118 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,3 €
POLYMARKETWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- No-0.5pt90%
- Yes+0.5pt10%
- Volumen total
- 797,6 €
- Volumen 24h
- —
PREDICTITWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volumen total
- 674,1 €
- Volumen 24h
- —
FUTUURRestrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- No81%
- Yes19%
- Volumen total
- 3,1 €
- Volumen 24h
- —
- GutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)
- Will the next pope convene Vatican 3?
- Catholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
- Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
- Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
- Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
- What percentage of humans will follow Islam in 2100?
- Will there be a trend spike for the term "Animism" before 2035?
- Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2028
- Scientology loses IRS Tax-exempt status
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the second coming of Jesus Christ happen within the next 100 years??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 96% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the second coming of Jesus Christ happen within the next 100 years??
- Está previsto que Will the second coming of Jesus Christ happen within the next 100 years? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2125.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the second coming of Jesus Christ happen within the next 100 years??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves Yes if the second coming of Jesus Christ happened within the next 100 years (before the end of 2124)